ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
0-1 | Road
7
TORONTO
BLUE JAYSTOR
1-0 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Luis Medina
#46 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Spencer Miles
#62 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Medina | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 0.1 | 1 |
| Spencer Miles | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00
ERA
0.00
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
100%
BLUE JAYS
0%
ATHLETICS
--
BLUE JAYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TOR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
ATH By 1-2 runs
16.3%
ATH By 3-4 runs
10.6%
TOR By 1-2 runs
19.6%
TOR By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
2
ATHLETICS
Toronto
3
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Athletics
6
ATHLETICS
Toronto
3
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jays
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Athletics
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jays (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Athletics (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 9, 2026
TOR @ ATH
0 - 2
Sep 8, 2026
TOR @ ATH
4 - 2
Sep 7, 2026
TOR @ ATH
5 - 6
Mar 29, 2026
ATH @ TOR
2 - 5
Mar 28, 2026
ATH @ TOR
7 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Toronto
TOR
162
Games Played
162
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
4.00
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.247
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.381
.719
▲
OPS
.692
194
▲
Home Runs
152
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+88.1% more
Toronto: 11.6
vs
Athletics: 6.2
Hits (L5)
+61.3% more
Toronto: 9.7
vs
Athletics: 6.0
Total Bases (L5)
+34.6% more
Toronto: 14.6
vs
Athletics: 10.9
Batting Avg (Season)
+0.2%
Toronto: 24.7%
vs
Athletics: 24.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
2.0
7
TOR Score
3.0
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.0 / 0.8
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.7 / 6.0
14.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 1.2
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
11.6 / 6.2
19.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
14.6 / 10.9
18.0 / 12.0
Walks
3.5 / 4.0
5.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
TOR
Advantage
79-83-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
TOR
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
ATH
TOR
ATH
ML
46%
74-87
59%
95-67
50%
80-80
54%
87-74
ATS
56%
90-71
52%
84-78
49%
79-81
50%
81-80
TTL
51%
80-76-5
54%
84-73-5
45%
70-85-5
42%
66-90-5
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
Cloud Production Secrets: NBC Sports, MLB, NHL, and Warner Bros.…
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …
Rays Sweep Yankees as Fan Interference Call Erases Volpe's Would…
Yankees Denied by Replay as Fan Interference Echoes Jeffrey Maie…