Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Alex Nedeljkovic
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Nedeljkovic | None-None | 2.02 | 0.917 | -- |
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 3.04 | 0.917 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.02 Ldr
GAA
3.04
0.917
Save %
0.917
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
BLUE JACKETS
0%
SHARKS
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Columbus)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CBJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)
SJ By 1 goal
12.1%
SJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
CBJ By 1 goal
19.7%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Columbus
3
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Columbus
3
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jackets
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Blue Jackets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 28, 2026
SJ @ CBJ
3 - 2
Jan 6, 2026
CBJ @ SJ
2 - 5
Jan 16, 2025
SJ @ CBJ
1 - 4
Nov 5, 2024
CBJ @ SJ
1 - 2
Mar 16, 2024
SJ @ CBJ
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+17.9% more
Columbus: 5.5
vs
San Jose: 4.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+14.5%
Columbus: 55.4%
vs
San Jose: 40.9%
Power Play % (L5)
+13.7%
Columbus: 14.2%
vs
San Jose: 0.4%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+34.4% more
San Jose: 18.8
vs
Columbus: 12.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJ Score
2.0
3
CBJ Score
3.0
2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
SJ
CBJ
SJ
ML
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
100%
2-0
0%
0-3
ATS
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-2
33%
1-2