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WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

30-30-12  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sat, Mar 28 • 7:00 PM ET
Ball Arena
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

48-13-10  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Connor Hellebuyck
GOALTENDER

Connor Hellebuyck

#37 | Goaltender
@
Mackenzie Blackwood
GOALTENDER

Mackenzie Blackwood

#39 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Connor Hellebuyck None-None 2.00 0.913 --
Mackenzie Blackwood None-None 3.11 0.850 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.00 Ldr GAA 3.11
0.913 Ldr Save % 0.850
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
100%
📊
AVALANCHE
0%
JETS --
AVALANCHE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Colorado)
JetsWPG (-3.5) 0 AvalancheCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jets Cover

30.9%

Avalanche Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around COL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)

WPG By 1 goal

12.1%

WPG By 2-3 goals

9.3%

COL By 1 goal

19.7%

COL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
WINNIPEG
2
COLORADO
Simulated Score
4
WINNIPEG
3
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Avalanche Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jets Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Avalanche (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Jets (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 7, 2026 COL @ WPG 2 - 3
Mar 28, 2026 WPG @ COL 4 - 2
Mar 26, 2026 COL @ WPG 3 - 2
Mar 14, 2026 COL @ WPG 1 - 3
Dec 19, 2025 WPG @ COL 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +85.2% more
Colorado: 30.8 vs Winnipeg: 16.6
Blocked Shots (L5) +34.2% more
Winnipeg: 14.9 vs Colorado: 9.8
Power Play % (L5) +32.0%
Winnipeg: 87.0% vs Colorado: 55.0%
Hits (L5) +23.2% more
Winnipeg: 20.8 vs Colorado: 16.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WPG Score 1.0 4
COL Score 2.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
9%MONEY91%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
48%MONEY52%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
WPG
COL
WPG
ML
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
ATS
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
100% 4-0
TTL
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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