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SEATTLE

KRAKENSEA

32-29-10  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sat, Mar 28 • 5:30 PM ET
KeyBank Center
View Odds Details →

BUFFALO

SABRESBUF

44-21-8  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Philipp Grubauer
GOALTENDER

Philipp Grubauer

#31 | Goaltender
@
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
GOALTENDER

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Philipp Grubauer None-None 1.85 0.944 --
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen None-None 1.85 0.941 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.85 GAA 1.85
0.944 Ldr Save % 0.941
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
KRAKEN
100%
📊
SABRES
0%
KRAKEN --
SABRES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Buffalo)
KrakenSEA (-3.5) 0 SabresBUF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kraken Cover

30.9%

Sabres Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)

SEA By 1 goal

12.1%

SEA By 2-3 goals

9.3%

BUF By 1 goal

19.7%

BUF By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
SEATTLE
3
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
2
SEATTLE
4
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Sabres Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sabres Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Sabres (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Sabres (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 28, 2026 SEA @ BUF 2 - 3
Dec 14, 2025 BUF @ SEA 3 - 1
Jan 20, 2025 BUF @ SEA 4 - 6
Jan 11, 2025 SEA @ BUF 6 - 2
Mar 18, 2024 BUF @ SEA 6 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +17.5% more
Buffalo: 20.6 vs Seattle: 17.5
Shots on Goal (L5) +9.1% more
Buffalo: 27.2 vs Seattle: 25.0
Faceoff % (L5) +5.1%
Buffalo: 48.1% vs Seattle: 43.0%
Blocked Shots (L5) +14.0% more
Seattle: 14.1 vs Buffalo: 12.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 2.0 2
BUF Score 3.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
6%MONEY94%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
66%MONEY34%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
SEA
BUF
SEA
ML
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
ATS
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
100% 3-0
25% 1-3
TTL
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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