Home / MLB Projections MLB / Athletics @ Blue Jays ATH @ TOR

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

0-0  |  Road

2
FINAL
Fri, Mar 27 • 7:07 PM ET
Rogers Centre
View Odds Details →

TORONTO

BLUE JAYSTOR

0-0  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Hogan Harris
STARTING PITCHER

Hogan Harris

#36 | Relief Pitcher
@
Tyler Rogers
STARTING PITCHER

Tyler Rogers

#71 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Hogan Harris None-None 0.00 -- 1.1 --
Tyler Rogers None-None 0.00 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
0.00 ERA 0.00
-- WHIP --
1.1 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
100%
📊
BLUE JAYS
0%
ATHLETICS --
BLUE JAYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Toronto)
AthleticsATH (-3.5) 0 Blue JaysTOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Athletics Cover

40.1%

Blue Jays Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TOR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)

ATH By 1-2 runs

16.3%

ATH By 3-4 runs

10.6%

TOR By 1-2 runs

19.6%

TOR By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
2
ATHLETICS
3
TORONTO
Simulated Score
4
ATHLETICS
5
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Jays Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Jays Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Jays (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Blue Jays (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u8.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim o8.5 Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 9, 2026 TOR @ ATH 0 - 2
Sep 8, 2026 TOR @ ATH 4 - 2
Sep 7, 2026 TOR @ ATH 5 - 6
Mar 29, 2026 ATH @ TOR 2 - 5
Mar 28, 2026 ATH @ TOR 7 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics ATH
vs
Toronto TOR
162
Games Played
162
4.31 ▲
Runs / Game
4.00
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .247
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.402 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.381
.719 ▲
OPS
.692
194 ▲
Home Runs
152
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +47.1% more
Toronto: 11.0 vs Athletics: 7.5
Total Bases (L5) +39.3% more
Toronto: 16.5 vs Athletics: 11.8
Home Runs (L5) +25.0% more
Toronto: 1.0 vs Athletics: 0.7
Strikeouts (L5) +21.1% more
Toronto: 9.4 vs Athletics: 7.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATH Score 2.0 2
TOR Score 3.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.0 / 1.2 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 11.0 / 7.5 7.0 / 3.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 0.7 0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 9.4 / 7.7 16.0 / 3.0
Total Bases 16.5 / 11.8 11.0 / 9.0
Walks 4.3 / 3.9 2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
34%MONEY66%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
TOR Advantage
79-83-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
TOR
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
ATH
TOR
ATH
ML
46% 74-87
59% 95-67
50% 80-80
54% 87-74
ATS
56% 90-71
52% 84-78
49% 79-81
50% 81-80
TTL
51% 80-76-5
54% 84-73-5
45% 70-85-5
42% 66-90-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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