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EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

35-28-9  |  Road

4
FINAL
Thu, Mar 26 • 9:30 PM ET
T-Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

VEGAS

GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK

32-26-14  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Jake Walman
GOALTENDER

Jake Walman

#96 | Defense
@
Adin Hill
GOALTENDER

Adin Hill

#33 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jake Walman None-None -- -- --
Adin Hill None-None 3.85 0.862 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 3.85
-- Save % 0.862
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
📊
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
OILERS --
GOLDEN KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Edmonton)
OilersEDM (-3.5) 0 Golden KnightsVGK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

93.3%

Golden Knights Cover

6.7%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

EDM By 1 goal

12.1%

EDM By 2-3 goals

37.2%

VGK By 1 goal

2.8%

VGK By 2-3 goals

1.2%

AI Model Projected Score
4
EDMONTON
1
VEGAS
Simulated Score
2
EDMONTON
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Oilers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Knights Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Oilers (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Golden Knights (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 4, 2026 VGK @ EDM 5 - 1
Mar 26, 2026 EDM @ VGK 4 - 3
Dec 21, 2025 VGK @ EDM 3 - 4
May 14, 2025 EDM @ VGK 1 - 0
May 12, 2025 VGK @ EDM 0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +20.0% more
Edmonton: 23.1 vs Vegas: 18.5
Takeaways (L5) +16.1% more
Edmonton: 4.1 vs Vegas: 3.5
Shots on Goal (L5) +11.7% more
Edmonton: 30.5 vs Vegas: 26.9
Faceoff % (L5) +4.1%
Edmonton: 57.4% vs Vegas: 53.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 4.0 4
VGK Score 1.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
59%MONEY41%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
89%MONEY11%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
EDM
VGK
EDM
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
TTL
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
observer_reporter 1 day ago
NHL Analyst Drops Bombshell: Connor McDavid Will Leave Oilers Du…
newsweek 3 days, 5 hours ago
Golden Knights Edge Canucks 3-2 as Gatcomb Strikes Late
yahoo 3 days, 18 hours ago
Sharks Place Forward Patrick Giles on Waivers
yardbarker 4 days ago
Canucks Aim to Stun Oilers Again in Home Opener After Overtime T…
yardbarker 1 week ago