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BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

17-55  |  Road

106
FINAL
Wed, Mar 25 • 10:00 PM ET
Chase Center
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GOLDEN STATE

WARRIORSGS

34-38  |  Home

109
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
0%
📊
WARRIORS
100%
NETS --
WARRIORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
GOLDEN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
NetsBKN (-3.5) 0 WarriorsGS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nets Cover

42.1%

Warriors Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GS +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GS)

BKN By 1-7 points

26.8%

BKN By 8-14 points

18.6%

GS By 1-7 points

23.0%

GS By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
110
BROOKLYN
108
GOLDEN STATE
Simulated Score
107
BROOKLYN
112
GOLDEN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Nets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Warriors Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Warriors (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim Warriors (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o217.5 Loss
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Sim u217.5 Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 25, 2026 BKN @ GS 106 - 109
Dec 29, 2025 GS @ BKN 120 - 107
Mar 6, 2025 GS @ BKN 121 - 119
Nov 25, 2024 BKN @ GS 128 - 120
Feb 5, 2024 GS @ BKN 109 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +10.8% more
Brooklyn: 4.4 vs Golden State: 3.9
Free Throw % (L5) +7.5%
Brooklyn: 84.0% vs Golden State: 76.4%
Steals (L5) +28.5% more
Golden State: 11.4 vs Brooklyn: 8.9
Assists (L5) +23.9% more
Golden State: 29.8 vs Brooklyn: 24.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BKN Score 110.0 106
GS Score 108.0 109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.0 / 33.7 33.0 / 36.0
Assists 29.8 / 24.1 21.0 / 24.0
Blocks 3.9 / 4.4 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 47.8 / 42.9 53.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 76.4 / 84.0 78.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 40.3 / 34.3 43.0 / 27.0
Steals 11.4 / 8.9 11.0 / 17.0
Turnovers 20.8 / 16.9 26.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
GS Advantage
38-46-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN Advantage
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
GS
36-48-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7% Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GS
BKN
GS
BKN
ML
55% 95-79
53% 50-45
58% 49-35
59% 48-34
ATS
58% 101-73
52% 48-44-3
58% 49-35
59% 48-34
TTL
77% 134-40
57% 54-41
100% 84-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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