Home / NHL Projections NHL / Oilers @ Mammoth EDM @ UTA

EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

34-28-9  |  Road

5
FINAL
Tue, Mar 24 • 9:30 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

MAMMOTHUTA

37-28-6  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Tristan Jarry
GOALTENDER

Tristan Jarry

#35 | Goaltender
@
Karel Vejmelka
GOALTENDER

Karel Vejmelka

#70 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Tristan Jarry None-None 2.00 0.889 --
Karel Vejmelka None-None 6.00 0.733 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.00 Ldr GAA 6.00
0.889 Ldr Save % 0.733
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
📊
MAMMOTH
100%
OILERS --
MAMMOTH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Edmonton)
OilersEDM (-3.5) 0 MammothUTA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

93.3%

Mammoth Cover

6.7%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

EDM By 1 goal

12.1%

EDM By 2-3 goals

37.2%

UTA By 1 goal

2.8%

UTA By 2-3 goals

1.2%

AI Model Projected Score
4
EDMONTON
1
UTAH
Simulated Score
2
EDMONTON
5
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Oilers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mammoth Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Oilers (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Mammoth (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 7, 2026 EDM @ UTA 5 - 6
Mar 24, 2026 EDM @ UTA 5 - 2
Oct 28, 2025 UTA @ EDM 3 - 6
Mar 18, 2025 UTA @ EDM 1 - 7
Dec 31, 2024 UTA @ EDM 1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +42.6% more
Edmonton: 9.2 vs Utah: 5.3
Shots on Goal (L5) +27.8% more
Edmonton: 30.5 vs Utah: 22.0
Faceoff % (L5) +6.5%
Edmonton: 57.4% vs Utah: 51.0%
Takeaways (L5) +12.9% more
Utah: 4.7 vs Edmonton: 4.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 4.0 5
UTA Score 1.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
45%MONEY55%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
91%MONEY9%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
90%MONEY10%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTA
EDM
UTA
EDM
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
TTL
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
observer_reporter 1 day, 1 hour ago
NHL Analyst Drops Bombshell: Connor McDavid Will Leave Oilers Du…
newsweek 3 days, 7 hours ago
Rangers' Center Depth in Jeopardy After Veleno's Lower-Body Inju…
nypost 3 days, 19 hours ago
Sharks Place Forward Patrick Giles on Waivers
yardbarker 4 days, 2 hours ago
Blue Jackets' Practice Plans Shift After 4-1 Defeat to Utah Mamm…
theathleticuk 4 days, 13 hours ago