BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
17-53 | Road
122
SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
18-53 | Home
126
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
KINGS
0%
NETS
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
212.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Sacramento)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SAC -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
BKN By 1-7 points
10.7%
BKN By 8-14 points
3.3%
SAC By 1-7 points
23.0%
SAC By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
101
BROOKLYN
Sacramento
111
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
109
BROOKLYN
Sacramento
115
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Kings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kings
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Kings (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Kings (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u218.5
Loss
Proj Total: 212.0
D
Sim
u218.5
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 29, 2026
SAC @ BKN
99 - 116
Mar 22, 2026
BKN @ SAC
122 - 126
Jan 27, 2025
SAC @ BKN
110 - 96
Nov 24, 2024
BKN @ SAC
108 - 103
Apr 7, 2024
SAC @ BKN
107 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+23.3% more
Sacramento: 27.9
vs
Brooklyn: 22.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.5%
Sacramento: 48.4%
vs
Brooklyn: 39.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.8%
Sacramento: 36.6%
vs
Brooklyn: 33.7%
Steals (L5)
+33.0% more
Brooklyn: 8.3
vs
Sacramento: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
101.0
122
SAC Score
111.0
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 33.7
52.0 / 42.0
Assists
27.9 / 22.7
30.0 / 30.0
Blocks
4.4 / 5.5
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.4 / 39.9
52.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
71.1 / 84.4
76.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
43.7 / 40.7
51.0 / 25.0
Steals
5.5 / 8.3
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 18.1
17.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
SAC
Advantage
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
BKN
SAC
BKN
ML
55%
55-45
53%
50-45
61%
50-32
59%
48-34
ATS
54%
52-45-3
52%
48-44-3
61%
50-32
59%
48-34
TTL
58%
57-42-1
57%
54-41
100%
82-0
100%
82-0
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