Home / NHL Projections NHL / Kings @ Mammoth LA @ UTA

LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

28-25-16  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, Mar 22 • 9:00 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

MAMMOTHUTA

36-28-6  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Darcy Kuemper
GOALTENDER

Darcy Kuemper

#35 | Goaltender
@
Karel Vejmelka
GOALTENDER

Karel Vejmelka

#70 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Darcy Kuemper None-None 3.89 0.882 --
Karel Vejmelka None-None 2.91 0.917 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.89 GAA Ldr 2.91
0.882 Save % Ldr 0.917
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
📊
MAMMOTH
0%
KINGS --
MAMMOTH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Utah)
KingsLA (-3.5) 0 MammothUTA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kings Cover

30.9%

Mammoth Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around UTA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTA)

LA By 1 goal

12.1%

LA By 2-3 goals

9.3%

UTA By 1 goal

19.7%

UTA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
LOS ANGELES
4
UTAH
Simulated Score
2
LOS ANGELES
4
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mammoth Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mammoth Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mammoth (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Mammoth (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 28, 2026 UTA @ LA 6 - 2
Mar 22, 2026 LA @ UTA 3 - 4
Dec 8, 2025 LA @ UTA 4 - 2
Apr 3, 2025 LA @ UTA 4 - 2
Feb 22, 2025 UTA @ LA 3 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5) +4.3%
Utah: 51.0% vs Los Angeles: 46.6%
Blocked Shots (L5) +56.7% more
Los Angeles: 12.1 vs Utah: 5.3
Shots on Goal (L5) +15.5% more
Los Angeles: 26.0 vs Utah: 22.0
Power Play % (L5) +15.3%
Los Angeles: 48.3% vs Utah: 33.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LA Score 3.0 3
UTA Score 4.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
34%MONEY66%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
11%MONEY89%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
70%MONEY30%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTA
LA
UTA
LA
ML
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
ATS
50% 2-2
100% 3-0
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
TTL
75% 3-1
0% 0-3
75% 3-1
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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