Home / NBA Projections NBA / 76ers @ Jazz PHI @ UTAH

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

38-32  |  Road

126
FINAL
Sat, Mar 21 • 9:30 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

21-49  |  Home

116
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
0%
📊
JAZZ
100%
76ERS --
JAZZ --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
243.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
76ersPHI (-3.5) 0 JazzUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

46.0%

Jazz Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTAH +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

PHI By 1-7 points

26.2%

PHI By 8-14 points

16.9%

UTAH By 1-7 points

24.3%

UTAH By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
122
PHILADELPHIA
121
UTAH
Simulated Score
108
PHILADELPHIA
115
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 76ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jazz Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jazz (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Jazz (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o228.5 Win
Proj Total: 243.0
D
Sim u228.5 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 21, 2026 PHI @ UTAH 126 - 116
Mar 4, 2026 UTAH @ PHI 102 - 106
Mar 9, 2025 UTAH @ PHI 122 - 126
Dec 28, 2024 PHI @ UTAH 114 - 111
Feb 1, 2024 PHI @ UTAH 127 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +50.5% more
Philadelphia: 7.3 vs Utah: 3.6
Free Throw % (L5) +10.7%
Philadelphia: 83.5% vs Utah: 72.8%
Turnovers (L5) +45.1% more
Utah: 17.8 vs Philadelphia: 12.3
Steals (L5) +16.3% more
Utah: 10.6 vs Philadelphia: 9.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 122.0 126
UTAH Score 121.0 116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.8 / 31.7 22.0 / 22.0
Assists 28.6 / 26.5 29.0 / 27.0
Blocks 3.6 / 7.3 8.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 48.2 / 46.0 41.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 72.8 / 83.5 94.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 44.0 / 45.5 39.0 / 56.0
Steals 10.6 / 9.1 8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 17.8 / 12.3 8.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
80%MONEY20%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
78%MONEY22%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
34%MONEY66%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
UTAH
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
PHI
UTAH
PHI
ML
60% 96-63
63% 69-40
48% 40-43
48% 45-48
ATS
68% 108-51
65% 71-38
48% 40-43
48% 45-48
TTL
75% 119-39-1
55% 60-49
100% 83-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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