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BUFFALO

SABRESBUF

43-20-6  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sat, Mar 21 • 4:00 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

28-24-16  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
GOALTENDER

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

#1 | Goaltender
@
Anton Forsberg
GOALTENDER

Anton Forsberg

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen None-None 1.00 0.963 --
Anton Forsberg None-None 3.07 0.938 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 Ldr GAA 3.07
0.963 Ldr Save % 0.938
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
0%
📊
KINGS
100%
SABRES --
KINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
SabresBUF (-3.5) 0 KingsLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sabres Cover

30.9%

Kings Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around LA +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LA)

BUF By 1 goal

19.7%

BUF By 2-3 goals

29.6%

LA By 1 goal

12.1%

LA By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
BUFFALO
2
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
2
BUFFALO
3
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Sabres Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kings Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kings (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Kings (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 21, 2026 BUF @ LA 4 - 1
Jan 29, 2026 LA @ BUF 1 - 4
Nov 20, 2024 BUF @ LA 1 - 0
Oct 10, 2024 LA @ BUF 3 - 1
Feb 13, 2024 LA @ BUF 0 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +23.5% more
Buffalo: 5.0 vs Los Angeles: 3.8
Power Play % (L5) +22.0%
Los Angeles: 48.3% vs Buffalo: 26.3%
Hits (L5) +20.3% more
Los Angeles: 22.3 vs Buffalo: 18.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BUF Score 3.0 4
LA Score 2.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
88%MONEY12%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
94%MONEY6%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
30%MONEY70%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LA
BUF
LA
BUF
ML
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
ATS
100% 3-0
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
100% 3-0
TTL
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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