GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORSGS
33-36 | Road
101
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
50-19 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
WARRIORS
100%
PISTONS
0%
WARRIORS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
240.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
GS By 1-7 points
20.1%
GS By 8-14 points
9.3%
DET By 1-7 points
27.4%
DET By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Golden State
118
GOLDEN STATE
Detroit
122
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Golden State
103
GOLDEN STATE
Detroit
122
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pistons (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Pistons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o217.0
Loss
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Sim
u217.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 20, 2026
GS @ DET
101 - 115
Jan 30, 2026
DET @ GS
131 - 124
Mar 8, 2025
DET @ GS
110 - 115
Jan 9, 2025
GS @ DET
107 - 104
Oct 13, 2024
DET @ GS
93 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+51.7% more
Detroit: 6.2
vs
Golden State: 4.1
Rebounding (L5)
+21.2% more
Detroit: 48.8
vs
Golden State: 40.3
Assists (L5)
+9.3% more
Detroit: 30.7
vs
Golden State: 28.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.8%
Detroit: 35.9%
vs
Golden State: 29.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GS Score
118.0
101
DET Score
122.0
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.9 / 29.2
24.0 / 36.0
Assists
30.7 / 28.1
29.0 / 23.0
Blocks
6.2 / 4.1
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
48.7 / 44.4
52.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
78.3 / 80.1
69.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
48.8 / 40.3
35.0 / 38.0
Steals
9.5 / 10.8
16.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 14.6
15.0 / 26.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GS
38-46-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GS
36-48-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
GS
DET
GS
ML
55%
64-53
55%
95-79
49%
47-49
58%
49-35
ATS
53%
60-54-3
58%
101-73
49%
47-49
58%
49-35
TTL
60%
70-46-1
77%
134-40
100%
96-0
100%
84-0
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