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TEXAS A&M

AGGIESTA&M

22-11  |  Road

57
FINAL
Sat, Mar 21 • 6:10 PM ET
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View Odds Details →

HOUSTON

COUGARSHOU

29-6  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
AGGIES
0%
📊
COUGARS
100%
AGGIES --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
AggiesTA&M (-3.5) 0 CougarsHOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Aggies Cover

42.1%

Cougars Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOU +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)

TA&M By 1-7 points

26.8%

TA&M By 8-14 points

18.6%

HOU By 1-7 points

23.0%

HOU By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
69
TEXAS A&M
67
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
65
TEXAS A&M
72
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Aggies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cougars (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u143.5 Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 21, 2026 TA&M @ HOU 57 - 88
Mar 24, 2024 TA&M @ HOU 95 - 100
Dec 16, 2023 TA&M @ HOU 66 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +28.3% more
Texas A&M: 9.5 vs Houston: 6.8
Assists (L5) +13.3% more
Texas A&M: 13.6 vs Houston: 11.8
Turnovers (L5) +11.6% more
Texas A&M: 9.7 vs Houston: 8.6
Blocks (L5) +34.8% more
Houston: 2.8 vs Texas A&M: 2.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TA&M Score 69.0 57
HOU Score 67.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 45.1 / 32.6 26.0 / 25.0
Assists 11.8 / 13.6 14.0 / 9.0
Blocks 2.8 / 2.1 7.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 46.5 / 42.0 44.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 74.0 / 67.7 80.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 39.7 / 35.3 46.0 / 29.0
Steals 6.8 / 9.5 4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 8.6 / 9.7 7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TA&M
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
HOU Advantage
30-7-0 (81.1%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TA&M Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
HOU
18-19-0 (48.7%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
TA&M
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2% Total +/-: +2.0
HOU
15-22-0
O: 40.5% / U: 59.5% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
TA&M
HOU
TA&M
ML
70% 26-11
67% 20-10
68% 23-11
54% 15-13
ATS
70% 26-11
67% 20-10
68% 23-11
54% 15-13
TTL
59% 22-15
70% 21-9
100% 34-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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