HIGH POINT
PANTHERSHPU
31-4 | Road
88
ARKANSAS
RAZORBACKSARK
27-8 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
RAZORBACKS
100%
PANTHERS
--
RAZORBACKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+11.0
ARKANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ARK +11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARK)
HPU By 1-7 points
21.6%
HPU By 8-14 points
27.4%
ARK By 1-7 points
9.3%
ARK By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
High Point
88
HIGH POINT
Arkansas
77
ARKANSAS
Simulated Score
High Point
65
HIGH POINT
Arkansas
78
ARKANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Razorbacks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Razorbacks (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +11.0
D
Sim
Razorbacks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u170.5
Loss
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim
u170.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 21, 2026
HPU @ ARK
88 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+31.4% more
Arkansas: 19.9
vs
High Point: 15.2
Turnovers (L5)
+12.0% more
Arkansas: 9.4
vs
High Point: 8.4
Blocks (L5)
+9.7% more
Arkansas: 4.6
vs
High Point: 4.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.1%
Arkansas: 78.7%
vs
High Point: 71.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HPU Score
88.0
88
ARK Score
77.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.6 / 37.0
56.0 / 26.0
Assists
19.9 / 15.2
18.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.6 / 4.2
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
50.7 / 44.4
51.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
78.7 / 71.7
75.0 / 91.0
Rebounding
38.8 / 38.8
37.0 / 36.0
Steals
7.1 / 7.7
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.4 / 8.4
7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HPU
Advantage
31-5-0
(86.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
ARK
28-9-0
(75.7%)
Margin: 9.2
ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HPU
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
ARK
Advantage
23-14-0
(62.2%)
Margin: 9.2
ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +1.4
ARK
22-15-0
O: 59.5% / U: 40.5%
Total +/-: +8.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARK
HPU
ARK
HPU
ML
68%
25-12
80%
28-7
81%
25-6
80%
28-7
ATS
70%
26-11
71%
25-10
81%
25-6
80%
28-7
TTL
57%
21-16
66%
23-12
100%
31-0
100%
35-0
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