PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
34-36 | Road
108
MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
43-27 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Portland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around POR -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)
POR By 1-7 points
27.4%
POR By 8-14 points
21.6%
MIN By 1-7 points
20.1%
MIN By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
119
PORTLAND
Minnesota
115
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Portland
105
PORTLAND
Minnesota
118
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Trail Blazers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Timberwolves
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Trail Blazers (-1)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Timberwolves (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o231.5
Loss
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim
u231.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 20, 2026
POR @ MIN
108 - 104
Feb 24, 2026
MIN @ POR
124 - 121
Feb 11, 2026
POR @ MIN
109 - 133
Oct 22, 2025
MIN @ POR
118 - 114
Feb 8, 2025
POR @ MIN
98 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+12.6% more
Portland: 6.9
vs
Minnesota: 6.1
Steals (L5)
+29.9% more
Minnesota: 9.5
vs
Portland: 7.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.7%
Minnesota: 51.8%
vs
Portland: 46.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.6%
Minnesota: 39.9%
vs
Portland: 36.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
POR Score
119.0
108
MIN Score
115.0
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.9 / 36.3
32.0 / 24.0
Assists
29.4 / 29.4
21.0 / 25.0
Blocks
6.1 / 6.9
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
51.8 / 46.1
40.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
78.8 / 76.8
79.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
44.9 / 48.2
43.0 / 51.0
Steals
9.5 / 7.3
11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
18.2 / 17.0
13.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
POR
MIN
POR
ML
54%
63-53
53%
56-49
54%
50-43
55%
49-40
ATS
58%
67-49
62%
65-39-1
54%
50-43
55%
49-40
TTL
63%
72-43-1
56%
58-46-1
100%
93-0
100%
89-0
Contextual Game News
Luka Doncic Opens Up About Heartbreaking Season Away From His Da…
LeBron James Impresses in 76ers Preseason Debut Against Nets
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…