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PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

32-23-12  |  Road

4
FINAL
Thu, Mar 19 • 10:30 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

28-24-15  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Cam York
GOALTENDER

Cam York

#8 | Defense
@
Darcy Kuemper
GOALTENDER

Darcy Kuemper

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Cam York None-None -- -- --
Darcy Kuemper None-None 2.80 0.850 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 2.80
-- Save % 0.850
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
📊
KINGS
0%
FLYERS --
KINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Los Angeles)
FlyersPHI (-3.5) 0 KingsLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flyers Cover

30.9%

Kings Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around LA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LA)

PHI By 1 goal

12.1%

PHI By 2-3 goals

9.3%

LA By 1 goal

19.7%

LA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
PHILADELPHIA
4
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
2
PHILADELPHIA
3
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Kings Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kings Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kings (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Kings (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 19, 2026 PHI @ LA 4 - 3
Jan 31, 2026 LA @ PHI 3 - 2
Dec 29, 2024 PHI @ LA 4 - 5
Dec 19, 2024 LA @ PHI 7 - 3
Nov 11, 2023 PHI @ LA 4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +28.0%
Los Angeles: 48.3% vs Philadelphia: 20.4%
Shots on Goal (L5) +20.2% more
Los Angeles: 26.0 vs Philadelphia: 21.7
Hits (L5) +15.9% more
Los Angeles: 24.5 vs Philadelphia: 21.1
Takeaways (L5) +22.1% more
Philadelphia: 5.5 vs Los Angeles: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 3.0 4
LA Score 4.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
38%MONEY62%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
12%MONEY88%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
45%MONEY55%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LA
PHI
LA
PHI
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
ATS
100% 3-0
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
TTL
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
0% 0-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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