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IOWA

HAWKEYESIOWA

21-12  |  Road

67
FINAL
Fri, Mar 20 • 6:50 PM ET
Benchmark International Arena
View Odds Details →

CLEMSON

TIGERSCLEM

24-10  |  Home

61
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKEYES
0%
📊
TIGERS
100%
HAWKEYES --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
IOWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Iowa)
HawkeyesIOWA (-3.5) 0 TigersCLEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hawkeyes Cover

69.1%

Tigers Cover

30.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IOWA -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IOWA)

IOWA By 1-7 points

27.2%

IOWA By 8-14 points

23.0%

CLEM By 1-7 points

18.6%

CLEM By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
75
IOWA
70
CLEMSON
Simulated Score
75
IOWA
72
CLEMSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hawkeyes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hawkeyes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hawkeyes (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Hawkeyes (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o130.5 Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u130.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 20, 2026 IOWA @ CLEM 67 - 61
Nov 25, 2022 IOWA @ CLEM 74 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +35.5% more
Iowa: 10.7 vs Clemson: 6.9
Assists (L5) +30.8% more
Iowa: 16.3 vs Clemson: 11.3
Field Goal % (L5) +7.1%
Iowa: 48.3% vs Clemson: 41.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.9%
Iowa: 38.7% vs Clemson: 34.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IOWA Score 75.0 67
CLEM Score 70.0 61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.7 / 38.7 35.0 / 28.0
Assists 11.3 / 16.3 12.0 / 5.0
Blocks 3.5 / 1.3 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 41.1 / 48.3 41.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 73.1 / 75.2 67.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 30.4 / 26.2 27.0 / 40.0
Steals 6.8 / 6.9 4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 6.9 / 10.7 3.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
69%MONEY31%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
76%MONEY24%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
56%MONEY44%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IOWA
24-13-0 (64.9%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
CLEM Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IOWA Advantage
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
CLEM
16-17-1 (48.5%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
IOWA
20-17-0
O: 54.1% / U: 46.0% Total +/-: +0.6
CLEM
13-21-0
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLEM
IOWA
CLEM
IOWA
ML
63% 22-13
59% 22-15
72% 23-9
78% 28-8
ATS
71% 25-10
76% 28-9
72% 23-9
78% 28-8
TTL
69% 24-11
57% 21-16
100% 32-0
100% 36-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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