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PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

31-23-12  |  Road

3
FINAL
Wed, Mar 18 • 10:00 PM ET
Honda Center
View Odds Details →

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

37-27-3  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Dan Vladar
GOALTENDER

Dan Vladar

#80 | Goaltender
@
Lukas Dostal
GOALTENDER

Lukas Dostal

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Dan Vladar None-None 1.93 0.944 --
Lukas Dostal None-None 2.92 0.893 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.93 Ldr GAA 2.92
0.944 Ldr Save % 0.893
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
📊
DUCKS
0%
FLYERS --
DUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Anaheim)
FlyersPHI (-3.5) 0 DucksANA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flyers Cover

30.9%

Ducks Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around ANA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)

PHI By 1 goal

12.1%

PHI By 2-3 goals

9.3%

ANA By 1 goal

19.7%

ANA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
PHILADELPHIA
3
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
2
PHILADELPHIA
4
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Ducks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ducks Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Ducks (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Ducks (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 18, 2026 PHI @ ANA 3 - 2
Jan 6, 2026 ANA @ PHI 2 - 5
Jan 11, 2025 ANA @ PHI 0 - 6
Dec 28, 2024 PHI @ ANA 3 - 1
Nov 10, 2023 PHI @ ANA 6 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +29.4% more
Anaheim: 28.0 vs Philadelphia: 21.7
Power Play % (L5) +19.7%
Philadelphia: 20.4% vs Anaheim: 0.7%
Hits (L5) +14.4% more
Philadelphia: 22.2 vs Anaheim: 19.0
Takeaways (L5) +8.5% more
Philadelphia: 4.7 vs Anaheim: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 2.0 3
ANA Score 3.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
34%MONEY66%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
PHI
ANA
PHI
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
0% 0-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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