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ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

27-30-10  |  Road

1
FINAL
Wed, Mar 18 • 9:30 PM ET
Scotiabank Saddledome
View Odds Details →

CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

26-34-7  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Joel Hofer
GOALTENDER

Joel Hofer

#30 | Goaltender
@
Devin Cooley
GOALTENDER

Devin Cooley

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Joel Hofer None-None 0.92 0.968 --
Devin Cooley None-None 0.92 0.962 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
0.92 GAA 0.92
0.968 Ldr Save % 0.962
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
📊
FLAMES
0%
BLUES --
FLAMES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Calgary)
BluesSTL (-3.5) 0 FlamesCGY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

30.9%

Flames Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)

STL By 1 goal

12.1%

STL By 2-3 goals

9.3%

CGY By 1 goal

19.7%

CGY By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
ST. LOUIS
3
CALGARY
Simulated Score
3
ST. LOUIS
4
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Flames Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flames Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Flames (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Flames (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 18, 2026 STL @ CGY 1 - 2
Nov 11, 2025 CGY @ STL 2 - 3
Oct 11, 2025 STL @ CGY 4 - 2
Jan 16, 2025 CGY @ STL 1 - 4
Jan 14, 2025 CGY @ STL 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +108.3% more
Calgary: 13.1 vs St. Louis: 6.3
Faceoff % (L5) +24.4%
Calgary: 59.1% vs St. Louis: 34.7%
Takeaways (L5) +11.0% more
Calgary: 4.8 vs St. Louis: 4.3
Hits (L5) +10.9% more
Calgary: 18.1 vs St. Louis: 16.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 2.0 1
CGY Score 3.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
86%MONEY14%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
81%MONEY19%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
STL
CGY
STL
ML
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
67% 2-1
50% 1-1-1
0% 0-3
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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