GEORGE WASHINGTON
REVOLUTIONARIESGW
18-15 | Road
79
UTAH VALLEY
WOLVERINESUVU
25-8 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
REVOLUTIONARIES
100%
WOLVERINES
0%
REVOLUTIONARIES
--
WOLVERINES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
UTAH VALLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Utah Valley)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UVU -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVU)
GW By 1-7 points
9.3%
GW By 8-14 points
2.7%
UVU By 1-7 points
21.6%
UVU By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
George Washington
68
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Utah Valley
79
UTAH VALLEY
Simulated Score
George Washington
70
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Utah Valley
75
UTAH VALLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wolverines
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wolverines
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wolverines (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Wolverines (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 18, 2026
GW @ UVU
79 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+29.3% more
Utah Valley: 4.4
vs
George Washington: 3.4
Turnovers (L5)
+8.5% more
Utah Valley: 13.0
vs
George Washington: 12.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.1%
Utah Valley: 36.8%
vs
George Washington: 31.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.0%
Utah Valley: 47.9%
vs
George Washington: 42.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GW Score
68.0
79
UVU Score
79.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 31.7
36.0 / 44.0
Assists
14.4 / 15.3
22.0 / 18.0
Blocks
4.4 / 3.4
1.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 42.9
45.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
63.8 / 64.6
78.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
34.2 / 38.2
33.0 / 32.0
Steals
7.0 / 6.6
10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 12.0
12.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GW
19-16-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
UVU
Advantage
25-9-0
(73.5%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GW
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
UVU
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -0.4
UVU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UVU
GW
UVU
GW
ML
56%
18-14
63%
22-13
72%
23-9
60%
21-14
ATS
53%
17-15
69%
24-11
74%
25-9
60%
21-14
TTL
44%
14-18
60%
21-14
100%
34-0
100%
35-0
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