CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
LANCERSCBU
24-8 | Road
63
UTAH VALLEY
WOLVERINESUVU
25-7 | Home
61
AI Model Win Probability
LANCERS
0%
WOLVERINES
100%
LANCERS
--
WOLVERINES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
172.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (California Baptist)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CBU -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBU)
CBU By 1-7 points
20.1%
CBU By 8-14 points
27.2%
UVU By 1-7 points
8.0%
UVU By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
California Baptist
92
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Utah Valley
80
UTAH VALLEY
Simulated Score
California Baptist
72
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Utah Valley
75
UTAH VALLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lancers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wolverines
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lancers (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Wolverines (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 172.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
CBU @ UVU
63 - 61
Feb 19, 2026
CBU @ UVU
46 - 65
Jan 24, 2026
UVU @ CBU
71 - 78
Dec 29, 2025
CBU @ UVU
66 - 73
Jan 23, 2025
UVU @ CBU
74 - 69
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.6%
California Baptist: 43.7%
vs
Utah Valley: 36.2%
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.9%
California Baptist: 72.5%
vs
Utah Valley: 66.6%
Blocks (L5)
+155.6% more
Utah Valley: 5.1
vs
California Baptist: 2.0
Assists (L5)
+53.9% more
Utah Valley: 16.1
vs
California Baptist: 10.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBU Score
92.0
63
UVU Score
80.0
61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.2 / 43.7
38.0 / 35.0
Assists
16.1 / 10.5
11.0 / 9.0
Blocks
5.1 / 2.0
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
49.9 / 48.8
44.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
66.6 / 72.5
58.0 / 91.0
Rebounding
34.8 / 37.3
33.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.5 / 6.0
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 11.9
14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CBU
25-9-0
(73.5%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +1.5
UVU
25-9-0
(73.5%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CBU
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +1.5
UVU
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CBU
12-22-0
O: 35.3% / U: 64.7%
Total +/-: -4.1
UVU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UVU
CBU
UVU
CBU
ML
56%
18-14
50%
17-17
72%
23-9
76%
25-8
ATS
53%
17-15
53%
18-16
74%
25-9
76%
25-8
TTL
44%
14-18
47%
16-18
100%
34-0
100%
33-0
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