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SEATTLE

KRAKENSEA

29-26-9  |  Road

5
FINAL
Sat, Mar 14 • 10:00 PM ET
Rogers Arena
View Odds Details →

VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

20-37-8  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Philipp Grubauer
GOALTENDER

Philipp Grubauer

#31 | Goaltender
@
Nikita Tolopilo
GOALTENDER

Nikita Tolopilo

#60 | G
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Philipp Grubauer None-None 2.02 0.941 --
Nikita Tolopilo None-None 5.00 0.848 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.02 Ldr GAA 5.00
0.941 Ldr Save % 0.848
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
KRAKEN
100%
📊
CANUCKS
0%
KRAKEN --
CANUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Vancouver)
KrakenSEA (-3.5) 0 CanucksVAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kraken Cover

30.9%

Canucks Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VAN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)

SEA By 1 goal

12.1%

SEA By 2-3 goals

9.3%

VAN By 1 goal

19.7%

VAN By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
SEATTLE
4
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
2
SEATTLE
4
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Canucks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Canucks Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Canucks (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Canucks (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 14, 2026 SEA @ VAN 5 - 2
Feb 28, 2026 VAN @ SEA 1 - 5
Jan 2, 2026 SEA @ VAN 4 - 3
Dec 29, 2025 VAN @ SEA 3 - 2
Sep 26, 2025 SEA @ VAN 2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +12.1% more
Vancouver: 5.8 vs Seattle: 5.2
Blocked Shots (L5) +22.4% more
Seattle: 16.6 vs Vancouver: 12.9
Power Play % (L5) +19.6%
Seattle: 21.7% vs Vancouver: 2.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 3.0 5
VAN Score 4.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
66%MONEY34%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
33%MONEY67%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
SEA
VAN
SEA
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
ATS
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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