Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Owls @ Bulldogs KENN @ LT

KENNESAW STATE

OWLSKENN

20-13  |  Road

71
FINAL
Sat, Mar 14 • 8:30 PM ET
Propst Arena
View Odds Details →

LOUISIANA TECH

BULLDOGSLT

20-13  |  Home

60
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
OWLS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
LOUISIANA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Louisiana Tech)
OwlsKENN (-3.5) 0 BulldogsLT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Owls Cover

2.3%

Bulldogs Cover

97.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LT -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LT)

KENN By 1-7 points

1.7%

KENN By 8-14 points

0.3%

LT By 1-7 points

8.0%

LT By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
69
KENNESAW STATE
89
LOUISIANA TECH
Simulated Score
70
KENNESAW STATE
75
LOUISIANA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o142.5 Loss
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 14, 2026 KENN @ LT 71 - 60
Feb 21, 2026 LT @ KENN 55 - 58
Jan 23, 2026 KENN @ LT 76 - 82
Feb 13, 2025 KENN @ LT 69 - 47
Jan 18, 2025 LT @ KENN 76 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +8.6% more
Louisiana Tech: 14.0 vs Kennesaw State: 12.9
Free Throw % (L5) +7.5%
Louisiana Tech: 78.0% vs Kennesaw State: 70.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.1%
Louisiana Tech: 48.7% vs Kennesaw State: 46.6%
Turnovers (L5) +20.4% more
Kennesaw State: 12.4 vs Louisiana Tech: 9.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENN Score 69.0 71
LT Score 89.0 60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.3 / 36.3 7.0 / 26.0
Assists 14.0 / 12.9 12.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.4 / 3.4 5.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 48.7 / 46.6 31.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 78.0 / 70.4 74.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 34.7 / 34.0 45.0 / 44.0
Steals 8.2 / 7.8 5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.9 / 12.4 8.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
63%MONEY37%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
41%MONEY59%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
45%MONEY55%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENN Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
LT
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENN
15-16-1 (48.4%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
LT Advantage
17-13-1 (56.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
KENN
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +0.8
LT
15-15-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LT
KENN
LT
KENN
ML
58% 19-14
74% 25-9
72% 23-9
72% 23-9
ATS
61% 20-13
71% 24-10
72% 23-9
73% 24-9
TTL
61% 20-13
56% 19-15
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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