Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / 49ers @ Bulls CLT @ USF

CHARLOTTE

49ERSCLT

17-16  |  Road

64
FINAL
Sat, Mar 14 • 3:00 PM ET
Legacy Arena at BJCC
View Odds Details →

SOUTH FLORIDA

BULLSUSF

23-8  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
49ERS
100%
📊
BULLS
0%
49ERS --
BULLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SOUTH FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (South Florida)
49ersCLT (-3.5) 0 BullsUSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

49ers Cover

46.0%

Bulls Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around USF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USF)

CLT By 1-7 points

24.3%

CLT By 8-14 points

13.7%

USF By 1-7 points

26.2%

USF By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
75
CHARLOTTE
76
SOUTH FLORIDA
Simulated Score
68
CHARLOTTE
72
SOUTH FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulls Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulls Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulls (+15.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Bulls (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 14, 2026 CLT @ USF 64 - 86
Mar 8, 2026 CLT @ USF 60 - 83
Jan 22, 2025 USF @ CLT 61 - 69
Mar 2, 2024 USF @ CLT 76 - 61
Feb 6, 2024 CLT @ USF 69 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +223.6% more
South Florida: 9.5 vs Charlotte: 2.9
Assists (L5) +20.3% more
South Florida: 19.2 vs Charlotte: 15.9
Rebounding (L5) +18.4% more
South Florida: 42.8 vs Charlotte: 36.1
Free Throw % (L5) +4.5%
South Florida: 74.5% vs Charlotte: 70.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLT Score 75.0 64
USF Score 76.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.8 / 37.9 41.0 / 24.0
Assists 19.2 / 15.9 16.0 / 8.0
Blocks 2.8 / 3.7 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.2 / 46.1 46.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 74.5 / 70.0 77.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 42.8 / 36.1 42.0 / 36.0
Steals 9.5 / 2.9 12.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 8.9 / 10.7 11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
33%MONEY67%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
65%MONEY35%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLT
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
USF Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLT
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
USF
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.7
USF
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USF
CLT
USF
CLT
ML
61% 20-13
62% 21-13
52% 16-15
67% 22-11
ATS
61% 20-13
68% 23-11
52% 16-15
67% 22-11
TTL
52% 17-16
65% 22-12
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day, 1 hour ago
Chicago Bulls Open Training Camp with New Regime and Roster Batt…
si 1 week, 2 days ago
Nuggets Eye Ryan Nembhard as Potential Two-Way Steal if Hornets …
yahoo 2 weeks, 1 day ago
Norman Powell Unveils His Ultimate UCLA Starting Five
yahoo 3 weeks, 5 days ago
UConn Secures Five-Star NaVorro Bowman Jr., Son of NFL Legend, i…
theathleticuk 4 weeks ago