CORNELL
BIG REDCOR
15-12 | Road
76
YALE
BULLDOGSYALE
23-5 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
BIG RED
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
BIG RED
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
YALE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Yale)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around YALE -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (YALE)
COR By 1-7 points
16.9%
COR By 8-14 points
6.8%
YALE By 1-7 points
26.8%
YALE By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Cornell
69
CORNELL
Yale
75
YALE
Simulated Score
Cornell
70
CORNELL
Yale
75
YALE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u162.5
Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
COR @ YALE
76 - 88
Feb 27, 2026
YALE @ COR
69 - 72
Jan 17, 2026
COR @ YALE
68 - 102
Mar 16, 2025
COR @ YALE
84 - 90
Feb 21, 2025
COR @ YALE
88 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+25.3% more
Yale: 3.7
vs
Cornell: 2.9
Steals (L5)
+16.0% more
Yale: 6.6
vs
Cornell: 5.7
Assists (L5)
+30.0% more
Cornell: 20.3
vs
Yale: 14.2
Turnovers (L5)
+12.9% more
Cornell: 10.9
vs
Yale: 9.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COR Score
69.0
76
YALE Score
75.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.5 / 39.1
40.0 / 30.0
Assists
14.2 / 20.3
21.0 / 24.0
Blocks
3.7 / 2.9
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.3 / 51.8
55.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
72.4 / 72.0
57.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
33.5 / 32.7
38.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.6 / 5.7
4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
9.5 / 10.9
7.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COR
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
YALE
Advantage
24-7-0
(77.4%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COR
11-15-0
(42.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
YALE
Advantage
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +6.5
YALE
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
YALE
COR
YALE
COR
ML
48%
15-16
44%
12-15
58%
18-13
63%
17-10
ATS
65%
20-11
59%
16-11
58%
18-13
63%
17-10
TTL
61%
19-12
78%
21-6
100%
31-0
100%
27-0
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