CHARLOTTE
49ERSCLT
16-16 | Road
83
UAB
BLAZERSUAB
20-11 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
49ERS
0%
BLAZERS
100%
49ERS
--
BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLT -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLT)
CLT By 1-7 points
26.2%
CLT By 8-14 points
25.3%
UAB By 1-7 points
15.3%
UAB By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
83
CHARLOTTE
UAB
76
UAB
Simulated Score
Charlotte
73
CHARLOTTE
UAB
78
UAB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
49ers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blazers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
49ers (-5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Blazers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Win
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
CLT @ UAB
83 - 78
Mar 4, 2026
UAB @ CLT
80 - 74
Feb 1, 2025
CLT @ UAB
78 - 96
Jan 23, 2024
UAB @ CLT
70 - 76
Mar 4, 2023
UAB @ CLT
93 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+26.9% more
Charlotte: 11.5
vs
UAB: 8.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
Charlotte: 32.8%
vs
UAB: 28.3%
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.5%
Charlotte: 78.4%
vs
UAB: 76.9%
Steals (L5)
+117.4% more
UAB: 6.3
vs
Charlotte: 2.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLT Score
83.0
83
UAB Score
76.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.3 / 32.8
21.0 / 48.0
Assists
14.7 / 13.4
24.0 / 21.0
Blocks
4.0 / 3.5
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 43.2
51.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
76.9 / 78.4
59.0 / 53.0
Rebounding
36.1 / 36.7
31.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.3 / 2.9
6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
8.4 / 11.5
6.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLT
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
UAB
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLT
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
UAB
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.7
UAB
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UAB
CLT
UAB
CLT
ML
59%
19-13
62%
21-13
41%
13-19
67%
22-11
ATS
56%
18-14
68%
23-11
41%
13-19
67%
22-11
TTL
69%
22-10
65%
22-12
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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