GEORGE WASHINGTON
REVOLUTIONARIESGW
18-14 | Road
81
SAINT LOUIS
BILLIKENSSLU
27-4 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
REVOLUTIONARIES
0%
BILLIKENS
100%
REVOLUTIONARIES
--
BILLIKENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (George Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GW -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GW)
GW By 1-7 points
6.8%
GW By 8-14 points
16.9%
SLU By 1-7 points
1.4%
SLU By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
George Washington
78
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Saint Louis
57
SAINT LOUIS
Simulated Score
George Washington
67
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Saint Louis
76
SAINT LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Revolutionaries
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Billikens
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Revolutionaries (-7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Billikens (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u158.5
Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
GW @ SLU
81 - 88
Jan 27, 2026
GW @ SLU
76 - 79
Jan 25, 2025
SLU @ GW
61 - 67
Feb 24, 2024
GW @ SLU
91 - 96
Jan 14, 2023
SLU @ GW
81 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+20.5% more
George Washington: 7.5
vs
Saint Louis: 5.9
Rebounding (L5)
+18.9% more
George Washington: 36.9
vs
Saint Louis: 29.9
Turnovers (L5)
+11.8% more
George Washington: 13.0
vs
Saint Louis: 11.4
Assists (L5)
+8.7% more
George Washington: 15.5
vs
Saint Louis: 14.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GW Score
78.0
81
SLU Score
57.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 31.0
33.0 / 33.0
Assists
14.1 / 15.5
19.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.9 / 4.1
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.5 / 44.4
46.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
68.2 / 66.8
92.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
29.9 / 36.9
37.0 / 41.0
Steals
5.9 / 7.5
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 13.0
11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GW
19-16-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
SLU
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GW
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
SLU
Advantage
19-13-2
(59.4%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -0.4
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SLU
GW
SLU
GW
ML
70%
23-10
63%
22-13
68%
21-10
60%
21-14
ATS
73%
24-9
69%
24-11
68%
21-10
60%
21-14
TTL
61%
20-13
60%
21-14
100%
31-0
100%
35-0
