Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Green Wave @ 49ers TULN @ CLT

TULANE

GREEN WAVETULN

18-14  |  Road

60
FINAL
Thu, Mar 12 • 7:00 PM ET
Legacy Arena at BJCC
View Odds Details →

CHARLOTTE

49ERSCLT

15-16  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
GREEN WAVE
100%
📊
49ERS
0%
GREEN WAVE --
49ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Charlotte)
Green WaveTULN (-3.5) 0 49ersCLT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Green Wave Cover

2.3%

49ers Cover

97.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLT -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLT)

TULN By 1-7 points

1.7%

TULN By 8-14 points

0.3%

CLT By 1-7 points

8.0%

CLT By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
67
TULANE
87
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
70
TULANE
75
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI 49ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 49ers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI 49ers (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim 49ers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 TULN @ CLT 60 - 74
Jan 23, 2026 TULN @ CLT 70 - 73
Feb 26, 2025 CLT @ TULN 64 - 78
Dec 31, 2024 TULN @ CLT 83 - 68
Jan 27, 2024 CLT @ TULN 75 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +15.1% more
Charlotte: 11.8 vs Tulane: 10.2
Field Goal % (L5) +5.0%
Charlotte: 45.3% vs Tulane: 40.3%
Steals (L5) +53.1% more
Tulane: 7.1 vs Charlotte: 3.3
Assists (L5) +11.0% more
Tulane: 13.6 vs Charlotte: 12.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TULN Score 67.0 60
CLT Score 87.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.2 / 34.7 38.0 / 21.0
Assists 12.1 / 13.6 16.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.7 / 2.6 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.3 / 40.3 39.0 / 31.0
Free Throw % 70.2 / 77.5 95.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 33.1 / 33.3 44.0 / 27.0
Steals 3.3 / 7.1 2.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 10.2 11.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
64%MONEY36%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
65%MONEY35%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
40%MONEY60%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TULN Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: -2.7
CLT
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TULN
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: -2.7
CLT Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -1.2
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLT
TULN
CLT
TULN
ML
62% 21-13
70% 23-10
67% 22-11
47% 15-17
ATS
68% 23-11
62% 20-12-1
67% 22-11
47% 15-17
TTL
65% 22-12
55% 18-15
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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