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PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

30-23-11  |  Road

3
FINAL
Thu, Mar 12 • 8:00 PM ET
Grand Casino Arena
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

WILDMIN

38-16-11  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Dan Vladar
GOALTENDER

Dan Vladar

#80 | Goaltender
@
Jesper Wallstedt
GOALTENDER

Jesper Wallstedt

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Dan Vladar None-None 1.86 0.913 --
Jesper Wallstedt None-None 1.85 0.926 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.86 GAA Ldr 1.85
0.913 Save % Ldr 0.926
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
📊
WILD
0%
FLYERS --
WILD --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Minnesota)
FlyersPHI (-3.5) 0 WildMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flyers Cover

30.9%

Wild Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MIN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

PHI By 1 goal

12.1%

PHI By 2-3 goals

9.3%

MIN By 1 goal

19.7%

MIN By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
PHILADELPHIA
3
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
2
PHILADELPHIA
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wild Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wild Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wild (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Wild (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 PHI @ MIN 3 - 2
Oct 18, 2025 MIN @ PHI 1 - 2
Dec 14, 2024 PHI @ MIN 1 - 4
Oct 26, 2024 MIN @ PHI 5 - 7
Jan 12, 2024 PHI @ MIN 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +56.7% more
Minnesota: 5.7 vs Philadelphia: 3.6
Shots on Goal (L5) +47.4% more
Minnesota: 32.0 vs Philadelphia: 21.7
Power Play % (L5) +23.1%
Minnesota: 43.5% vs Philadelphia: 20.4%
Faceoff % (L5) +2.6%
Philadelphia: 47.2% vs Minnesota: 44.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 2.0 3
MIN Score 3.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
27%MONEY73%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
85%MONEY15%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
PHI
MIN
PHI
ML
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
100% 3-0
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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