MIDDLE TENNESSEE
BLUE RAIDERSMTSU
17-14 | Road
69
LOUISIANA TECH
BULLDOGSLT
18-13 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE RAIDERS
0%
BULLDOGS
100%
BLUE RAIDERS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
LOUISIANA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LT +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LT)
MTSU By 1-7 points
26.2%
MTSU By 8-14 points
16.9%
LT By 1-7 points
24.3%
LT By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Middle Tennessee
70
MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Louisiana Tech
69
LOUISIANA TECH
Simulated Score
Middle Tennessee
68
MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Louisiana Tech
72
LOUISIANA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Raiders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o134.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
MTSU @ LT
69 - 80
Jan 14, 2026
MTSU @ LT
58 - 59
Jan 2, 2026
LT @ MTSU
51 - 88
Mar 13, 2025
LT @ MTSU
75 - 77
Feb 20, 2025
LT @ MTSU
85 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+74.0% more
Louisiana Tech: 10.0
vs
Middle Tennessee: 5.8
Blocks (L5)
+41.8% more
Louisiana Tech: 5.0
vs
Middle Tennessee: 3.5
Assists (L5)
+12.8% more
Louisiana Tech: 16.3
vs
Middle Tennessee: 14.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
Louisiana Tech: 49.6%
vs
Middle Tennessee: 45.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MTSU Score
70.0
69
LT Score
69.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.7 / 36.0
56.0 / 37.0
Assists
16.3 / 14.5
14.0 / 11.0
Blocks
5.0 / 3.5
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
49.6 / 45.2
48.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
82.0 / 81.5
79.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 35.4
32.0 / 32.0
Steals
10.0 / 5.8
11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 11.8
9.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MTSU
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 2.7
ATS +/-: +0.8
LT
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MTSU
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: 2.7
ATS +/-: +0.8
LT
Advantage
17-13-1
(56.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MTSU
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.7
LT
15-15-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LT
MTSU
LT
MTSU
ML
58%
19-14
56%
18-14
72%
23-9
69%
22-10
ATS
61%
20-13
75%
24-8
72%
23-9
69%
22-10
TTL
61%
20-13
53%
17-15
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
.jpg)
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud in $9,000 Scheme
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
Tyrese Haliburton Set to Make Emotional Return to Iowa State as …