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ALABAMA A&M

BULLDOGSAAMU

17-14  |  Road

85
FINAL
Thu, Mar 12 • 2:00 PM ET
Gateway Center
View Odds Details →

TEXAS SOUTHERN

TIGERSTXSO

12-17  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
📊
TIGERS
100%
BULLDOGS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
ALABAMA A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Alabama A&M)
BulldogsAAMU (-3.5) 0 TigersTXSO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

90.3%

Tigers Cover

9.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around AAMU -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AAMU)

AAMU By 1-7 points

18.6%

AAMU By 8-14 points

26.8%

TXSO By 1-7 points

6.8%

TXSO By 8-14 points

1.7%

AI Model Projected Score
89
ALABAMA A&M
76
TEXAS SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
68
ALABAMA A&M
75
TEXAS SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o143.5 Win
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 AAMU @ TXSO 85 - 74
Jan 24, 2026 AAMU @ TXSO 74 - 89
Jan 25, 2025 TXSO @ AAMU 82 - 78
Mar 15, 2024 AAMU @ TXSO 65 - 72
Jan 27, 2024 AAMU @ TXSO 69 - 85
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +13.8%
Alabama A&M: 40.8% vs Texas Southern: 27.0%
Assists (L5) +9.9% more
Alabama A&M: 13.5 vs Texas Southern: 12.2
Field Goal % (L5) +4.8%
Alabama A&M: 48.2% vs Texas Southern: 43.3%
Blocks (L5) +123.0% more
Texas Southern: 5.3 vs Alabama A&M: 2.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
AAMU Score 89.0 85
TXSO Score 76.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.0 / 40.8 31.0 / 38.0
Assists 12.2 / 13.5 15.0 / 21.0
Blocks 5.3 / 2.4 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 43.3 / 48.2 39.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 75.0 / 76.1 72.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 42.7 / 31.3 38.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.0 / 5.3 5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.2 / 9.2 14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AAMU Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -0.5 ATS +/-: -0.1
TXSO
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -2.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AAMU Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.5 ATS +/-: -0.1
TXSO
9-19-0 (32.1%)
Margin: -2.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
AAMU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.3
TXSO
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TXSO
AAMU
TXSO
AAMU
ML
64% 18-10
55% 16-13
71% 17-7
67% 16-8
ATS
61% 17-11
55% 16-13
71% 17-7
67% 16-8
TTL
71% 20-8
66% 19-10
100% 24-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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