Home / NHL Projections NHL / Sharks @ Bruins SJ @ BOS

SAN JOSE

SHARKSSJ

30-26-6  |  Road

4
FINAL
Thu, Mar 12 • 7:00 PM ET
TD Garden
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

36-22-6  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Alex Nedeljkovic
GOALTENDER

Alex Nedeljkovic

#33 | Goaltender
@
Jeremy Swayman
GOALTENDER

Jeremy Swayman

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Alex Nedeljkovic None-None 2.00 0.951 --
Jeremy Swayman None-None 4.23 0.857 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.00 Ldr GAA 4.23
0.951 Ldr Save % 0.857
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
📊
BRUINS
0%
SHARKS --
BRUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Boston)
SharksSJ (-3.5) 0 BruinsBOS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sharks Cover

30.9%

Bruins Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

SJ By 1 goal

12.1%

SJ By 2-3 goals

9.3%

BOS By 1 goal

19.7%

BOS By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
SAN JOSE
3
BOSTON
Simulated Score
1
SAN JOSE
4
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bruins Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bruins Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bruins (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Bruins (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 SJ @ BOS 4 - 2
Nov 23, 2025 BOS @ SJ 1 - 3
Mar 22, 2025 BOS @ SJ 1 - 3
Jan 20, 2025 SJ @ BOS 3 - 6
Nov 30, 2023 SJ @ BOS 0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +11.6% more
Boston: 28.7 vs San Jose: 25.7
Power Play % (L5) +11.5%
Boston: 20.3% vs San Jose: 8.8%
Faceoff % (L5) +6.5%
Boston: 50.7% vs San Jose: 44.3%
Blocked Shots (L5) +16.5% more
San Jose: 15.8 vs Boston: 13.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SJ Score 2.0 4
BOS Score 3.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
25%MONEY75%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
12%MONEY88%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
71%MONEY29%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
SJ
BOS
SJ
ML
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
0% 0-3
ATS
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
TTL
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…
yahoo 18 hours, 37 minutes ago
Sharks Stunned: Celebrini Sidelined by Lower-Body Injury Moments…
yahoo 2 days, 18 hours ago
Sharks' Celebrini Sidelined with Lower-Body Injury in Loss to St…
yahoo 2 days, 18 hours ago
Bruins Look to Fix Special Teams as Senators Come to Town
yardbarker 4 days ago
Sharks Place Forward Patrick Giles on Waivers
yardbarker 4 days ago