Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Owls @ Hilltoppers KENN @ WKU

KENNESAW STATE

OWLSKENN

18-13  |  Road

96
FINAL
Thu, Mar 12 • 9:00 PM ET
Propst Arena
View Odds Details →

WESTERN KENTUCKY

HILLTOPPERSWKU

18-13  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
📊
HILLTOPPERS
100%
OWLS --
HILLTOPPERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
KENNESAW STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Kennesaw State)
OwlsKENN (-3.5) 0 HilltoppersWKU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Owls Cover

65.5%

Hilltoppers Cover

34.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around KENN -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENN)

KENN By 1-7 points

27.4%

KENN By 8-14 points

21.6%

WKU By 1-7 points

20.1%

WKU By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
73
KENNESAW STATE
69
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
75
KENNESAW STATE
80
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Owls Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hilltoppers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Owls (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Hilltoppers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u159.5 Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 KENN @ WKU 96 - 87
Jan 28, 2026 WKU @ KENN 69 - 72
Jan 17, 2026 KENN @ WKU 81 - 65
Feb 6, 2025 WKU @ KENN 69 - 76
Jan 11, 2025 KENN @ WKU 69 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +75.1% more
Kennesaw State: 4.1 vs Western Kentucky: 1.0
Turnovers (L5) +13.2% more
Kennesaw State: 10.9 vs Western Kentucky: 9.5
Steals (L5) +31.0% more
Western Kentucky: 7.8 vs Kennesaw State: 5.9
Free Throw % (L5) +5.5%
Western Kentucky: 73.0% vs Kennesaw State: 67.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENN Score 73.0 96
WKU Score 69.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.0 / 34.4 46.0 / 33.0
Assists 13.5 / 13.3 12.0 / 15.0
Blocks 1.0 / 4.1 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.7 / 43.4 44.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 73.0 / 67.5 78.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 32.9 / 35.1 32.0 / 35.0
Steals 7.8 / 5.9 6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 9.5 / 10.9 14.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
51%MONEY49%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENN Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
WKU
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENN
15-16-1 (48.4%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +0.8
WKU Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
KENN
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +0.8
WKU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WKU
KENN
WKU
KENN
ML
56% 18-14
74% 25-9
66% 21-11
72% 23-9
ATS
53% 17-15
71% 24-10
66% 21-11
73% 24-9
TTL
56% 18-14
56% 19-15
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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