TULANE
GREEN WAVETULN
17-14 | Road
81
MEMPHIS
TIGERSMEM
13-18 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
GREEN WAVE
100%
TIGERS
0%
GREEN WAVE
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Memphis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MEM -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)
TULN By 1-7 points
16.9%
TULN By 8-14 points
6.8%
MEM By 1-7 points
26.8%
MEM By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Tulane
80
TULANE
Memphis
86
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
Tulane
70
TULANE
Memphis
75
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.5
Loss
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
TULN @ MEM
81 - 69
Mar 8, 2026
MEM @ TULN
96 - 95
Feb 1, 2026
TULN @ MEM
78 - 76
Mar 15, 2025
TULN @ MEM
77 - 78
Jan 30, 2025
MEM @ TULN
68 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+33.0% more
Memphis: 4.6
vs
Tulane: 3.4
Rebounding (L5)
+19.6% more
Memphis: 35.8
vs
Tulane: 30.0
Turnovers (L5)
+11.2% more
Memphis: 11.5
vs
Tulane: 10.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Memphis: 46.6%
vs
Tulane: 42.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TULN Score
80.0
81
MEM Score
86.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.7 / 31.6
23.0 / 41.0
Assists
13.9 / 13.9
7.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.6 / 3.4
7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 42.9
36.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
72.2 / 75.2
69.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
35.8 / 30.0
45.0 / 40.0
Steals
5.9 / 7.6
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 10.4
12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TULN
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
MEM
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TULN
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
MEM
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.2
MEM
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
TULN
MEM
TULN
ML
62%
20-12
70%
23-10
68%
21-10
47%
15-17
ATS
62%
20-12
62%
20-12-1
68%
21-10
47%
15-17
TTL
66%
21-11
55%
18-15
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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