RUTGERS
SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG
13-18 | Road
72
MINNESOTA
GOLDEN GOPHERSMINN
15-16 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
SCARLET KNIGHTS
0%
GOLDEN GOPHERS
100%
SCARLET KNIGHTS
--
GOLDEN GOPHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MINN +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MINN)
RUTG By 1-7 points
26.8%
RUTG By 8-14 points
18.6%
MINN By 1-7 points
23.0%
MINN By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Rutgers
66
RUTGERS
Minnesota
64
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Rutgers
65
RUTGERS
Minnesota
69
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Scarlet Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Gophers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Gophers (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Golden Gophers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u135.5
Loss
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim
u135.5
Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
RUTG @ MINN
72 - 67
Feb 21, 2026
RUTG @ MINN
61 - 80
Mar 9, 2025
MINN @ RUTG
67 - 75
Feb 18, 2024
RUTG @ MINN
70 - 81
Mar 2, 2023
RUTG @ MINN
74 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+47.0% more
Rutgers: 2.7
vs
Minnesota: 1.4
Steals (L5)
+19.2% more
Rutgers: 6.6
vs
Minnesota: 5.3
Rebounding (L5)
+14.7% more
Rutgers: 28.9
vs
Minnesota: 24.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.9%
Rutgers: 79.2%
vs
Minnesota: 77.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RUTG Score
66.0
72
MINN Score
64.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.3 / 35.4
43.0 / 43.0
Assists
15.1 / 14.7
23.0 / 22.0
Blocks
1.4 / 2.7
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
48.1 / 44.4
52.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
77.3 / 79.2
67.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
24.7 / 28.9
26.0 / 27.0
Steals
5.3 / 6.6
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.5 / 7.6
15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RUTG
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
MINN
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RUTG
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
MINN
14-18-1
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.6
MINN
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MINN
RUTG
MINN
RUTG
ML
48%
16-17
53%
18-16
71%
22-9
70%
23-10
ATS
55%
18-15
68%
23-11
71%
22-9
70%
23-10
TTL
52%
17-16
53%
18-16
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
Rutgers Men's Basketball Releases Full 2026-27 Schedule with TV …
Tyrese Haliburton Set to Make Emotional Return to Iowa State as …
Jalen Shelley Compares Texas A&M Basketball's Press to Minnesota…
Indiana Hoosiers Fans Invade Rutgers Homecoming as Hoosiers Roll…
Rutgers Basketball Preseason: Standouts and Storylines from Tues…