Home / NHL Projections NHL / Kings @ Bruins LA @ BOS

LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

26-23-14  |  Road

1
FINAL
Tue, Mar 10 • 7:00 PM ET
TD Garden
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

35-22-6  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Darcy Kuemper
GOALTENDER

Darcy Kuemper

#35 | Goaltender
@
Jeremy Swayman
GOALTENDER

Jeremy Swayman

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Darcy Kuemper None-None 1.99 0.913 --
Jeremy Swayman None-None 0.99 0.938 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.99 GAA Ldr 0.99
0.913 Save % Ldr 0.938
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
📊
BRUINS
0%
KINGS --
BRUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Boston)
KingsLA (-3.5) 0 BruinsBOS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kings Cover

30.9%

Bruins Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

LA By 1 goal

12.1%

LA By 2-3 goals

9.3%

BOS By 1 goal

19.7%

BOS By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
LOS ANGELES
3
BOSTON
Simulated Score
2
LOS ANGELES
4
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bruins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bruins Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bruins (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Bruins (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 LA @ BOS 1 - 2
Nov 21, 2025 BOS @ LA 2 - 1
Mar 23, 2025 BOS @ LA 2 - 7
Oct 12, 2024 LA @ BOS 1 - 2
Feb 17, 2024 LA @ BOS 5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5) +5.4%
Boston: 50.7% vs Los Angeles: 45.3%
Power Play % (L5) +3.9%
Boston: 20.3% vs Los Angeles: 16.5%
Hits (L5) +23.3% more
Los Angeles: 27.0 vs Boston: 20.7
Takeaways (L5) +22.0% more
Los Angeles: 5.4 vs Boston: 4.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LA Score 2.0 1
BOS Score 3.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
16%MONEY84%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
12%MONEY88%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
86%TICKETS14%
97%MONEY3%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
LA
BOS
LA
ML
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
ATS
50% 2-2
100% 3-0
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
TTL
75% 3-1
0% 0-3
0% 0-4
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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