Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Terriers @ Mountain Hawks BU @ LEH

BOSTON UNIVERSITY

TERRIERSBU

17-16  |  Road

60
FINAL
Wed, Mar 11 • 7:00 PM ET
Stabler Arena
View Odds Details →

LEHIGH

MOUNTAIN HAWKSLEH

17-16  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
100%
📊
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
0%
TERRIERS --
MOUNTAIN HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LEHIGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Lehigh)
TerriersBU (-3.5) 0 Mountain HawksLEH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Terriers Cover

46.0%

Mountain Hawks Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LEH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEH)

BU By 1-7 points

24.3%

BU By 8-14 points

13.7%

LEH By 1-7 points

26.2%

LEH By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
69
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
70
LEHIGH
Simulated Score
69
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
75
LEHIGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mountain Hawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mountain Hawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mountain Hawks (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Mountain Hawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o138.5 Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 11, 2026 BU @ LEH 60 - 74
Feb 22, 2026 BU @ LEH 67 - 70
Jan 14, 2026 LEH @ BU 93 - 91
Feb 26, 2025 BU @ LEH 79 - 68
Jan 15, 2025 LEH @ BU 58 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +65.3% more
Lehigh: 5.6 vs Boston University: 3.4
Assists (L5) +16.9% more
Lehigh: 15.6 vs Boston University: 13.3
Rebounding (L5) +9.4% more
Lehigh: 32.0 vs Boston University: 29.2
Blocks (L5) +24.8% more
Boston University: 3.5 vs Lehigh: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BU Score 69.0 60
LEH Score 70.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 43.0 / 44.6 47.0 / 6.0
Assists 15.6 / 13.3 13.0 / 3.0
Blocks 2.6 / 3.5 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 52.1 / 55.1 44.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 75.0 / 73.6 71.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 32.0 / 29.2 36.0 / 31.0
Steals 5.6 / 3.4 5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 12.2 7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
36%MONEY64%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BU
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.2
LEH Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BU
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.2
LEH
18-14-1 (56.3%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BU
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: +8.4
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEH
BU
LEH
BU
ML
56% 19-15
68% 23-11
68% 23-11
62% 21-13
ATS
56% 19-15
62% 21-13
68% 23-11
62% 21-13
TTL
76% 26-8
65% 22-12
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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