ALCORN STATE
BRAVESALCN
9-22 | Road
56
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
PANTHERSPV
14-17 | Home
65
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
100%
PANTHERS
0%
BRAVES
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Prairie View A&M)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PV -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PV)
ALCN By 1-7 points
15.3%
ALCN By 8-14 points
5.8%
PV By 1-7 points
26.2%
PV By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Alcorn State
68
ALCORN STATE
Prairie View A&M
75
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Simulated Score
Alcorn State
67
ALCORN STATE
Prairie View A&M
72
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o141.5
Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
ALCN @ PV
56 - 65
Feb 28, 2026
ALCN @ PV
51 - 72
Jan 19, 2026
PV @ ALCN
75 - 76
Mar 1, 2025
PV @ ALCN
55 - 71
Jan 20, 2025
ALCN @ PV
78 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+109.5% more
Prairie View A&M: 7.9
vs
Alcorn State: 3.8
Assists (L5)
+31.6% more
Prairie View A&M: 14.3
vs
Alcorn State: 10.8
Rebounding (L5)
+19.5% more
Prairie View A&M: 39.9
vs
Alcorn State: 33.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+14.2%
Prairie View A&M: 37.7%
vs
Alcorn State: 23.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ALCN Score
68.0
56
PV Score
75.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.7 / 23.5
18.0 / 29.0
Assists
14.3 / 10.8
11.0 / 6.0
Blocks
7.9 / 3.8
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 40.8
36.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
71.2 / 72.0
74.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
39.9 / 33.4
40.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.7 / 7.9
3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 12.3
7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ALCN
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -13.3
ATS +/-: -0.8
PV
Advantage
19-18-0
(51.3%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ALCN
17-14-1
(54.8%)
Margin: -13.3
ATS +/-: -0.8
PV
Advantage
22-10-0
(68.8%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
ALCN
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.5
PV
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PV
ALCN
PV
ALCN
ML
59%
20-14
66%
21-11
68%
21-10
75%
18-6
ATS
56%
19-15
68%
21-10-1
68%
21-10
75%
18-6
TTL
50%
17-17
47%
15-17
100%
31-0
100%
24-0
Contextual Game News
