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EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

31-25-8  |  Road

4
FINAL
Tue, Mar 10 • 10:00 PM ET
Ball Arena
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

43-10-9  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Tristan Jarry
GOALTENDER

Tristan Jarry

#35 | Goaltender
@
Mackenzie Blackwood
GOALTENDER

Mackenzie Blackwood

#39 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Tristan Jarry None-None 2.94 0.917 --
Mackenzie Blackwood None-None 4.15 0.833 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.94 Ldr GAA 4.15
0.917 Ldr Save % 0.833
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
📊
AVALANCHE
100%
OILERS --
AVALANCHE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Edmonton)
OilersEDM (-3.5) 0 AvalancheCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

97.7%

Avalanche Cover

2.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

EDM By 1 goal

6.6%

EDM By 2-3 goals

29.6%

COL By 1 goal

0.9%

COL By 2-3 goals

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
EDMONTON
1
COLORADO
Simulated Score
2
EDMONTON
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Oilers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Avalanche Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Oilers (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Avalanche (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u7.0 Push
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u7.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 13, 2026 COL @ EDM 2 - 1
Mar 10, 2026 EDM @ COL 4 - 3
Nov 8, 2025 COL @ EDM 9 - 1
Feb 7, 2025 COL @ EDM 5 - 4
Jan 16, 2025 EDM @ COL 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +20.2%
Edmonton: 20.8% vs Colorado: 0.6%
Shots on Goal (L5) +16.5% more
Edmonton: 36.9 vs Colorado: 30.8
Hits (L5) +14.8% more
Edmonton: 22.3 vs Colorado: 19.0
Blocked Shots (L5) +11.2% more
Edmonton: 11.1 vs Colorado: 9.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 5.0 4
COL Score 1.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
27%MONEY73%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
6%MONEY94%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
94%MONEY6%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
EDM
COL
EDM
ML
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
ATS
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 6 hours, 57 minutes ago
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
si 1 day ago
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
observer_reporter 1 day, 1 hour ago
NHL Analyst Drops Bombshell: Connor McDavid Will Leave Oilers Du…
newsweek 3 days, 6 hours ago
Sharks Place Forward Patrick Giles on Waivers
yardbarker 4 days, 1 hour ago