KANSAS STATE
WILDCATSKSU
12-19 | Road
91
BYU
COUGARSBYU
21-10 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
COUGARS
100%
WILDCATS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+10.0
BYU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BYU +10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BYU)
KSU By 1-7 points
23.0%
KSU By 8-14 points
27.2%
BYU By 1-7 points
10.7%
BYU By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas State
78
KANSAS STATE
BYU
68
BYU
Simulated Score
Kansas State
72
KANSAS STATE
BYU
78
BYU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +10.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u168.5
Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u168.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
KSU @ BYU
91 - 105
Jan 3, 2026
BYU @ KSU
83 - 73
Feb 24, 2024
BYU @ KSU
74 - 84
Feb 10, 2024
KSU @ BYU
66 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+49.1% more
Kansas State: 7.6
vs
BYU: 3.9
Turnovers (L5)
+28.8% more
Kansas State: 12.7
vs
BYU: 9.1
Assists (L5)
+21.5% more
Kansas State: 12.4
vs
BYU: 9.7
Blocks (L5)
+15.0% more
Kansas State: 2.9
vs
BYU: 2.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KSU Score
78.0
91
BYU Score
68.0
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.2 / 32.9
34.0 / 57.0
Assists
9.7 / 12.4
16.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.5 / 2.9
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.2 / 44.3
55.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
73.8 / 70.9
78.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
36.3 / 31.0
40.0 / 29.0
Steals
3.9 / 7.6
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.1 / 12.7
11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KSU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -2.3
ATS +/-: -2.9
BYU
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KSU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -2.3
ATS +/-: -2.9
BYU
Advantage
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
KSU
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BYU
KSU
BYU
KSU
ML
60%
21-14
59%
19-13
72%
23-9
69%
22-10
ATS
54%
19-16
62%
20-12
72%
23-9
69%
22-10
TTL
69%
24-11
47%
15-17
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
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