TOWSON
TIGERSTOW
19-14 | Road
65
HOFSTRA
PRIDEHOF
22-10 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
PRIDE
0%
TIGERS
--
PRIDE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Hofstra)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOF -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)
TOW By 1-7 points
4.8%
TOW By 8-14 points
1.1%
HOF By 1-7 points
15.3%
HOF By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Towson
67
TOWSON
Hofstra
82
HOFSTRA
Simulated Score
Towson
70
TOWSON
Hofstra
75
HOFSTRA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pride
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pride
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pride (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Pride (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o132.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u132.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 9, 2026
TOW @ HOF
65 - 68
Feb 7, 2026
TOW @ HOF
49 - 71
Jan 8, 2026
HOF @ TOW
78 - 67
Jan 16, 2025
HOF @ TOW
60 - 65
Feb 3, 2024
TOW @ HOF
56 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+32.0% more
Towson: 4.4
vs
Hofstra: 3.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.4%
Towson: 76.8%
vs
Hofstra: 71.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.3%
Towson: 40.6%
vs
Hofstra: 35.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOW Score
67.0
65
HOF Score
82.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.3 / 40.6
37.0 / 31.0
Assists
10.7 / 11.0
9.0 / 6.0
Blocks
3.0 / 4.4
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 45.4
38.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
71.4 / 76.8
82.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
40.3 / 40.2
39.0 / 36.0
Steals
5.6 / 5.4
2.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
9.5 / 9.5
10.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOW
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
HOF
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOW
14-17-1
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
HOF
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
⚖️ Over/Under
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.5
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOF
TOW
HOF
TOW
ML
77%
27-8
66%
21-11
71%
25-10
62%
20-12
ATS
83%
29-6
66%
21-11
71%
25-10
62%
20-12
TTL
51%
18-17
53%
17-15
100%
35-0
100%
32-0
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