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NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

24-30-8  |  Road

6
FINAL
Mon, Mar 9 • 7:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

29-22-11  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Igor Shesterkin
GOALTENDER

Igor Shesterkin

#31 | Goaltender
@
Dan Vladar
GOALTENDER

Dan Vladar

#80 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Igor Shesterkin None-None 2.01 0.941 --
Dan Vladar None-None 9.00 0.750 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.01 Ldr GAA 9.00
0.941 Ldr Save % 0.750
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
📊
FLYERS
0%
RANGERS --
FLYERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Philadelphia)
RangersNYR (-3.5) 0 FlyersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

15.9%

Flyers Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PHI -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

NYR By 1 goal

6.6%

NYR By 2-3 goals

3.7%

PHI By 1 goal

17.5%

PHI By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
NEW YORK
3
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
2
NEW YORK
4
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Flyers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flyers Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Flyers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Flyers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 9, 2026 NYR @ PHI 6 - 2
Feb 26, 2026 PHI @ NYR 3 - 2
Jan 17, 2026 NYR @ PHI 6 - 3
Dec 20, 2025 PHI @ NYR 4 - 5
Apr 9, 2025 PHI @ NYR 8 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +8.0% more
Philadelphia: 21.7 vs New York: 20.1
Takeaways (L5) +8.3% more
New York: 4.8 vs Philadelphia: 4.4
Faceoff % (L5) +4.7%
New York: 52.0% vs Philadelphia: 47.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYR Score 1.0 6
PHI Score 3.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
49%MONEY51%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
66%MONEY34%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
NYR
PHI
NYR
ML
75% 3-1
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
ATS
25% 1-3
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
TTL
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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