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MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE

DELTA DEVILSMVSU

3-29  |  Road

52
FINAL
Mon, Mar 9 • 8:30 PM ET
Gateway Center
View Odds Details →

GRAMBLING

TIGERSGRAM

13-18  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
DELTA DEVILS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
DELTA DEVILS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
GRAMBLING
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Grambling)
Delta DevilsMVSU (-3.5) 0 TigersGRAM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Delta Devils Cover

42.1%

Tigers Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GRAM -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GRAM)

MVSU By 1-7 points

23.0%

MVSU By 8-14 points

12.2%

GRAM By 1-7 points

26.8%

GRAM By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
66
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
68
GRAMBLING
Simulated Score
58
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
72
GRAMBLING
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+13.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u135.5 Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim u135.5 Win
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 9, 2026 MVSU @ GRAM 52 - 77
Feb 23, 2026 MVSU @ GRAM 62 - 83
Jan 25, 2025 GRAM @ MVSU 65 - 54
Jan 27, 2024 MVSU @ GRAM 46 - 54
Jan 21, 2023 GRAM @ MVSU 65 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +63.5% more
Grambling: 7.9 vs Mississippi Valley State: 4.9
Rebounding (L5) +17.6% more
Grambling: 34.9 vs Mississippi Valley State: 29.7
Free Throw % (L5) +4.5%
Grambling: 78.4% vs Mississippi Valley State: 73.9%
Assists (L5) +18.7% more
Mississippi Valley State: 13.7 vs Grambling: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MVSU Score 66.0 52
GRAM Score 68.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.8 / 33.3 54.0 / 33.0
Assists 11.1 / 13.7 15.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.4 / 2.3 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 38.7 / 46.3 44.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 78.4 / 73.9 67.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 34.9 / 29.7 36.0 / 35.0
Steals 7.9 / 4.9 7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 13.6 / 14.6 12.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MVSU
3-30-0 (9.1%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
GRAM Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MVSU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
GRAM
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MVSU
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +1.0
GRAM
10-21-0
O: 32.3% / U: 67.7% Total +/-: -4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GRAM
MVSU
GRAM
MVSU
ML
68% 21-10
91% 30-3
68% 17-8
75% 18-6
ATS
61% 19-12
82% 27-6
68% 17-8
75% 18-6
TTL
58% 18-13
58% 19-14
100% 25-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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