ORLANDO
MAGICORL
34-28 | Road
130
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
27-35 | Home
91
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
BUCKS
100%
MAGIC
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
210.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
ORL By 1-7 points
25.3%
ORL By 8-14 points
26.2%
MIL By 1-7 points
13.7%
MIL By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
109
ORLANDO
Milwaukee
101
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Orlando
118
ORLANDO
Milwaukee
112
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (+6)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Magic (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u216.5
Loss
Proj Total: 210.0
D
Sim
u216.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
ORL @ MIL
130 - 91
Feb 11, 2026
MIL @ ORL
116 - 108
Feb 9, 2026
MIL @ ORL
99 - 118
Mar 8, 2025
ORL @ MIL
111 - 109
Jan 15, 2025
ORL @ MIL
93 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.5%
Orlando: 82.6%
vs
Milwaukee: 68.1%
Blocks (L5)
+14.3% more
Orlando: 4.1
vs
Milwaukee: 3.5
Rebounding (L5)
+9.6% more
Orlando: 47.9
vs
Milwaukee: 43.4
Steals (L5)
+8.0% more
Orlando: 8.0
vs
Milwaukee: 7.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
109.0
130
MIL Score
101.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.4 / 31.6
30.0 / 42.0
Assists
27.1 / 28.2
22.0 / 31.0
Blocks
3.5 / 4.1
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 46.3
43.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
68.1 / 82.6
46.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
43.4 / 47.9
36.0 / 49.0
Steals
7.3 / 8.0
10.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 13.3
17.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
ORL
MIL
ORL
ML
64%
61-35
61%
65-42
60%
49-32
56%
51-40
ATS
68%
65-31
64%
68-38-1
60%
49-32
56%
51-40
TTL
55%
53-43
57%
61-46
100%
81-0
100%
91-0
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