NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
41-23 | Road
97
LOS ANGELES
LAKERSLAL
38-25 | Home
110
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
LAKERS
100%
KNICKS
--
LAKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
27.2%
NY By 8-14 points
23.0%
LAL By 1-7 points
18.6%
LAL By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
113
NEW YORK
Los Angeles
108
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
New York
109
NEW YORK
Los Angeles
112
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lakers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (+4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Lakers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u226.0
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Sim
u226.0
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
NY @ LAL
97 - 110
Feb 1, 2026
LAL @ NY
100 - 112
Mar 6, 2025
NY @ LAL
109 - 113
Feb 1, 2025
LAL @ NY
128 - 112
Feb 3, 2024
LAL @ NY
113 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+15.8% more
New York: 32.8
vs
Los Angeles: 27.6
Rebounding (L5)
+15.2% more
New York: 47.6
vs
Los Angeles: 40.4
Steals (L5)
+10.1% more
New York: 9.1
vs
Los Angeles: 8.2
Blocks (L5)
+12.4% more
Los Angeles: 4.4
vs
New York: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
113.0
97
LAL Score
108.0
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.5 / 38.2
34.0 / 24.0
Assists
27.6 / 32.8
20.0 / 23.0
Blocks
4.4 / 4.0
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
51.1 / 50.8
43.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
79.4 / 73.8
83.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
40.4 / 47.6
42.0 / 47.0
Steals
8.2 / 9.1
10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 13.4
14.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
LAL
57-35-0
(62.0%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
LAL
51-41-0
(55.4%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAL
NY
LAL
NY
ML
61%
68-43
61%
114-72
54%
49-42
56%
57-45
ATS
61%
67-43-1
67%
124-62
54%
49-42
56%
57-45
TTL
61%
66-43-2
72%
133-53
100%
91-0
100%
102-0
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