Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Panthers WIN @ HPU

WINTHROP

EAGLESWIN

23-10  |  Road

76
FINAL
Sun, Mar 8 • 12:00 PM ET
Freedom Hall (TN)
View Odds Details →

HIGH POINT

PANTHERSHPU

29-4  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
EAGLES --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
HIGH POINT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (High Point)
EaglesWIN (-3.5) 0 PanthersHPU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

15.9%

Panthers Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HPU -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HPU)

WIN By 1-7 points

10.7%

WIN By 8-14 points

3.3%

HPU By 1-7 points

23.0%

HPU By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
73
WINTHROP
83
HIGH POINT
Simulated Score
72
WINTHROP
75
HIGH POINT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u159.5 Loss
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 8, 2026 WIN @ HPU 76 - 91
Feb 21, 2026 WIN @ HPU 87 - 89
Jan 14, 2026 HPU @ WIN 75 - 92
Mar 9, 2025 WIN @ HPU 69 - 81
Feb 15, 2025 HPU @ WIN 88 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +29.4% more
High Point: 13.7 vs Winthrop: 10.6
Steals (L5) +21.3% more
High Point: 8.7 vs Winthrop: 7.2
Field Goal % (L5) +4.0%
High Point: 45.3% vs Winthrop: 41.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.9%
High Point: 32.3% vs Winthrop: 29.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WIN Score 73.0 76
HPU Score 83.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.3 / 29.4 45.0 / 24.0
Assists 13.7 / 10.6 14.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.7 / 3.5 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 45.3 / 41.3 46.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 69.0 / 74.6 84.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 37.4 / 41.8 40.0 / 46.0
Steals 8.7 / 7.2 8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 9.9 / 10.5 9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
53%MONEY47%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIN
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
HPU Advantage
31-5-0 (86.1%)
Margin: 18.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIN
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
HPU Advantage
17-15-1 (53.1%)
Margin: 18.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WIN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.3
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HPU
WIN
HPU
WIN
ML
80% 28-7
70% 23-10
80% 28-7
79% 26-7
ATS
71% 25-10
79% 26-7
80% 28-7
79% 26-7
TTL
66% 23-12
58% 19-14
100% 35-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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