BOSTON UNIVERSITY
TERRIERSBU
16-16 | Road
73
NAVY
MIDSHIPMENNAVY
26-6 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
0%
MIDSHIPMEN
100%
TERRIERS
--
MIDSHIPMEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
NAVY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NAVY +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NAVY)
BU By 1-7 points
27.4%
BU By 8-14 points
21.6%
NAVY By 1-7 points
20.1%
NAVY By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston University
79
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Navy
75
NAVY
Simulated Score
Boston University
66
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Navy
71
NAVY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Terriers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Midshipmen
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Midshipmen (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Midshipmen (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.5
Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
BU @ NAVY
73 - 72
Jan 28, 2026
NAVY @ BU
58 - 50
Dec 31, 2025
BU @ NAVY
77 - 82
Mar 6, 2025
NAVY @ BU
86 - 78
Feb 5, 2025
NAVY @ BU
65 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
Boston University: 55.1%
vs
Navy: 50.6%
Steals (L5)
+80.4% more
Navy: 8.2
vs
Boston University: 4.6
Assists (L5)
+40.7% more
Navy: 19.0
vs
Boston University: 13.5
Blocks (L5)
+30.7% more
Navy: 4.9
vs
Boston University: 3.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BU Score
79.0
73
NAVY Score
75.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.3 / 43.9
15.0 / 46.0
Assists
19.0 / 13.5
14.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.9 / 3.7
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
50.6 / 55.1
43.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
72.4 / 68.8
70.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
34.6 / 29.9
33.0 / 28.0
Steals
8.2 / 4.6
10.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 11.8
4.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BU
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
NAVY
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BU
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
NAVY
Advantage
20-11-1
(64.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
BU
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +8.4
NAVY
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NAVY
BU
NAVY
BU
ML
79%
26-7
68%
23-11
55%
18-15
62%
21-13
ATS
73%
24-9
62%
21-13
55%
18-15
62%
21-13
TTL
73%
24-9
65%
22-12
100%
33-0
100%
34-0
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