EAST CAROLINA
PIRATESECU
11-19 | Road
83
UAB
BLAZERSUAB
19-11 | Home
90
AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
100%
BLAZERS
0%
PIRATES
--
BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
UAB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (UAB)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UAB -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UAB)
ECU By 1-7 points
13.7%
ECU By 8-14 points
4.8%
UAB By 1-7 points
25.3%
UAB By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
East Carolina
69
EAST CAROLINA
UAB
77
UAB
Simulated Score
East Carolina
70
EAST CAROLINA
UAB
78
UAB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blazers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blazers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blazers (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Blazers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
ECU @ UAB
83 - 90
Jan 11, 2026
UAB @ ECU
87 - 85
Mar 14, 2025
ECU @ UAB
77 - 94
Feb 11, 2025
UAB @ ECU
75 - 82
Jan 20, 2024
ECU @ UAB
61 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+23.8% more
UAB: 4.0
vs
East Carolina: 3.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.1%
UAB: 78.9%
vs
East Carolina: 70.8%
Turnovers (L5)
+38.0% more
East Carolina: 14.0
vs
UAB: 8.7
Steals (L5)
+15.3% more
East Carolina: 6.4
vs
UAB: 5.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ECU Score
69.0
83
UAB Score
77.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.9 / 35.1
33.0 / 32.0
Assists
12.0 / 12.8
20.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.0 / 3.2
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.2 / 44.1
55.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
78.9 / 70.8
73.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
37.1 / 35.6
34.0 / 44.0
Steals
5.4 / 6.4
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
8.7 / 14.0
8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ECU
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -2.5
UAB
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ECU
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -2.5
UAB
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
ECU
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +3.9
UAB
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UAB
ECU
UAB
ECU
ML
59%
19-13
55%
17-14
41%
13-19
55%
17-14
ATS
56%
18-14
52%
16-15
41%
13-19
55%
17-14
TTL
69%
22-10
61%
19-12
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
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