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CHARLOTTE

49ERSCLT

15-15  |  Road

60
FINAL
Sun, Mar 8 • 2:00 PM ET
Yuengling Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTH FLORIDA

BULLSUSF

22-8  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
49ERS
100%
📊
BULLS
0%
49ERS --
BULLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
SOUTH FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (South Florida)
49ersCLT (-3.5) 0 BullsUSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

49ers Cover

3.6%

Bulls Cover

96.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around USF -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USF)

CLT By 1-7 points

2.7%

CLT By 8-14 points

0.5%

USF By 1-7 points

10.7%

USF By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
76
CHARLOTTE
94
SOUTH FLORIDA
Simulated Score
68
CHARLOTTE
72
SOUTH FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulls Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulls Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulls (-16.5) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Bulls (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o156.5 Loss
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 14, 2026 CLT @ USF 64 - 86
Mar 8, 2026 CLT @ USF 60 - 83
Jan 22, 2025 USF @ CLT 61 - 69
Mar 2, 2024 USF @ CLT 76 - 61
Feb 6, 2024 CLT @ USF 69 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +149.9% more
South Florida: 8.7 vs Charlotte: 3.5
Assists (L5) +38.0% more
South Florida: 16.7 vs Charlotte: 12.1
Rebounding (L5) +33.5% more
South Florida: 42.2 vs Charlotte: 31.6
Blocks (L5) +21.0% more
South Florida: 3.2 vs Charlotte: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLT Score 76.0 60
USF Score 94.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.7 / 31.9 37.0 / 27.0
Assists 16.7 / 12.1 24.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.2 / 2.6 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.9 / 48.0 42.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 78.2 / 75.2 67.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 42.2 / 31.6 44.0 / 36.0
Steals 8.7 / 3.5 11.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 10.2 6.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLT
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
USF Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLT
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
USF
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.7
USF
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USF
CLT
USF
CLT
ML
61% 20-13
62% 21-13
52% 16-15
67% 22-11
ATS
61% 20-13
68% 23-11
52% 16-15
67% 22-11
TTL
52% 17-16
65% 22-12
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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